Vanguard Mega Cap Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

VMVLX Fund  USD 302.68  1.93  0.64%   
The entity has a beta of -0.009, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vanguard Mega are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Vanguard Mega is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vanguard Mega Cap are ranked lower than 21 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak essential indicators, Vanguard Mega may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026.
...more
  

Vanguard Mega Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  27,033  in Vanguard Mega Cap on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,042  from holding Vanguard Mega Cap or generate 11.25% return on investment over 90 days. Vanguard Mega Cap is currently producing 0.1801% returns and takes up 0.6647% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 5% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Vanguard, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Mega is expected to generate 0.86 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.16 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.27 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Vanguard Mega Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
302.68
Please note that Vanguard Mega's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Vanguard Mega Cap has a current Real Value of $295.45 per share. The regular price of the fund is $302.68. We determine the value of Vanguard Mega Cap from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Vanguard Mega is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vanguard Mutual Fund. However, Vanguard Mega's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  302.68 Real  295.45 Hype  302.68
The intrinsic value of Vanguard Mega's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vanguard Mega's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
294.79
Downside
295.45
Real Value
332.95
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vanguard Mega Cap helps investors to forecast how Vanguard mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vanguard Mega more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vanguard Mega's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
302.02302.68303.34
Details

Vanguard Mega Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vanguard Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 302.68 90 days 302.68 
roughly 2.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Mega to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.84 (This Vanguard Mega Cap probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Mega Cap has a beta of -0.009. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vanguard Mega are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vanguard Mega Cap is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vanguard Mega Cap has an alpha of 0.1706, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vanguard Mega Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Mega

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Mega Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
302.02302.68303.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
294.79295.45332.95
Details

Vanguard Mega Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Mega is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Mega's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Mega Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Mega within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.009
σ
Overall volatility
9.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Vanguard Mega Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Mega for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Mega Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 100.02% of its net assets in stocks

Vanguard Mega Fundamentals Growth

Vanguard Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vanguard Mega, and Vanguard Mega fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vanguard Mutual Fund performance.

About Vanguard Mega Performance

Evaluating Vanguard Mega's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Vanguard Mega has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Vanguard Mega has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the CRSP US Mega Cap Value Index. Vanguard Mega is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Vanguard Mega Cap performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Mega for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Mega Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 100.02% of its net assets in stocks
Evaluating Vanguard Mega's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vanguard Mega's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Vanguard Mega's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vanguard Mega's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vanguard Mega's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vanguard Mega's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vanguard Mega's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vanguard Mega's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Vanguard Mega's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vanguard Mega's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vanguard Mega's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund

Vanguard Mega financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Mega security.
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing